第409章 变数(一)(2 / 2)
带血的麻糖
宁河晚渡
0 字
2021-09-30
中日战争,从战略意义层面来看,中日上海战争冲突是不可避免的。究竟何时爆发、如何爆发,这其中的内因是中日双方不可改变的立场,欧美列强的态度也是左右中日军事冲突的一个重要外因。
六年前,“九·一八”事变发生后,民国政府诉诸国联,国联作出了“各打五十大板”的糊涂决定。显然,这是对日本侵略中国行为的纵容与妥协,国民政府期待之中的公允并没有得到实现。尽管事实不遂人愿,尽管国联和列强对日本妥协是不争的事实,“七七事变”发生以后,国民政府高层仍然觉得,西方列强在中国享有重大利益,一定不会允许日本扩大侵华的态势,进一步损坏他们自身的利益。尤其是上海“一·二八”事变,西方列强不甘心上海利益受到损害,采取武装威慑与外交干预的手段,出面调停了这次军事冲突。国民政府高层认为,上海的利益或许是西方列强在华利益上对日本划出的底线,基于这个总体判断,国民政府在对日交涉的同时,力求引起国际社会对战事的关注,谋求世界列强出面发声讲话,企图借列强之力迫使日本作出军事上、政治上的妥协,甚至是让步。
七月十二日,蒋介石委员长发给宋哲元的密电中专门提到“平津国际关系复杂,如我能抗战到底,只要不允签任何条件,则在华北有权利之各国,必不能坐视不理”。然而,欧美列强对此中日关系都保持着非常谨慎的态度,英国和法国要相对积极一些。对于日军的行动,英国驻东京大使向日本政府提出抗议。七月十二日,英国外交大臣艾登召见日本驻英大使吉田茂,以暂停英日修好谈判作为对日本的警告。
七月二十日,蒋介石委员长在南京接连会见美英等国大使,强调日本全面侵华战争迫在眉睫,表示现在局势只有各关系国,尤其是美、英二国之合作可挽危机。对此,英国立即做出了反应,张伯伦首相表示,愿意与美国合作,采取联合行动共同对日。但是,美国国会被孤立主义势力所主导,他们认为地球那边发生的事情与自身的利益并没有多大的关系,中国的战争灾难并没有引起他们真正关注,并没有进入他们的视线。这样,美国政府也不想卷入大洋彼岸的战端,更不愿意与日本对立,坚持不愿采取完全一致的干预行动。美国人更加现实地关注经济利益,甚至在中日爆发战争后还在持续向日本大量输出废石油、旧钢铁、橡胶、医疗物资等重要战争物资,这才是美利坚合众国在亚洲利益的博弈所在。中日双方的战事,可以让这个世界上“头号商业巨人”两头获利,那么坐壁上观又何乐而不为。
至于进一步的行动,因为美国的态度,英国却并不想单独采取行动。原因有三个方面,一来因为英国在东亚的军事力量相对薄弱,二来因为欧洲的问题正方兴未艾,英国在中国利益重大,但英国的经济重心并不在中国,三来是因为日本本来就是在英国远东战略的棋子,是在英国扶持下壮大起来的,英国的保守党对于两国之间的旧情仍然心存幻想。
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